Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 2.024245 2.320422 2.647283 3.035170 3.483464 3.985940 4.592760
2025-06-08 1.582158 1.981711 2.465291 3.095521 3.897994 4.889361 6.212751
2025-06-15 1.324336 1.760753 2.322945 3.103968 4.166922 5.571668 7.583054
2025-06-22 1.121742 1.564479 2.164150 3.041468 4.302013 6.062471 8.733296
2025-06-29 0.978238 1.421519 2.048407 3.007518 4.452105 6.569335 9.949003
2025-07-06 0.857536 1.291957 1.930145 2.946034 4.541685 6.983386 11.063257
2025-07-13 0.814803 1.270411 1.964402 3.111781 4.987975 7.980772 13.207749
2025-07-20 0.742913 1.194178 1.904077 3.118200 5.176552 8.585150 14.781639
2025-07-27 0.700043 1.158405 1.901986 3.215638 5.521352 9.479875 16.960692
2025-08-03 0.645028 1.096019 1.848502 3.218032 5.699824 10.105027 18.734895
2025-08-10 0.593105 1.033053 1.786686 3.197182 5.831268 10.656371 20.436968
2025-08-17 0.537869 0.958506 1.696808 3.114895 5.838295 10.975716 21.727491
2025-08-24 0.502706 0.920764 1.676327 3.173657 6.148237 11.963131 24.615853
2025-08-31 0.470083 0.885085 1.657550 3.237503 6.485789 13.070242 27.978833
2025-09-07 0.434667 0.839631 1.614350 3.246333 6.711135 13.977902 31.060692
2025-09-14 0.395128 0.781497 1.539595 3.180810 6.770855 14.543387 33.468731
2025-09-21 0.363330 0.735194 1.482928 3.145217 6.888625 15.248559 36.317565
2025-09-28 0.332281 0.686980 1.416879 3.080763 6.932567 15.792321 38.867929
2025-10-05 0.325723 0.689348 1.456685 3.254526 7.544073 17.735890 45.261612
2025-10-12 0.305425 0.659908 1.424835 3.261256 7.762494 18.772001 49.490589
2025-10-19 0.294356 0.649529 1.433585 3.363417 8.226023 20.479233 55.836196
2025-10-26 0.276822 0.622728 1.402412 3.365927 8.440842 21.586051 60.716962
2025-11-02 0.259159 0.593812 1.363297 3.344066 8.590051 22.543148 65.346912